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Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession .40 4 % +19 % Normal economy .50 +20 +9 Boom .10

Consider the following scenario analysis:

Rate of Return

Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds
Recession .40 4 % +19 %
Normal economy .50 +20 +9
Boom .10 +26 +8

a.) Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? (Y/N)

b.

Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 1 decimal place.)

Expected Rate of Return Standard Deviation
Stocks % %
Bonds % %
c.) Which investment would you prefer? (Stocks or Bonds)

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