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Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession .40 4 % +19 % Normal economy .50 +20 +9 Boom .10
Consider the following scenario analysis:
Rate of Return | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Scenario | Probability | Stocks | Bonds | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Recession | .40 | 4 | % | +19 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Normal economy | .50 | +20 | +9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Boom | .10 | +26 | +8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
a.) Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? (Y/N)
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