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Consider the following time series data: Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 4 6 7 2 2 3 6 3 3 5 6
Consider the following time series data:
Quarter | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
1 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
2 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
4 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
a). Use a multiple regression model with dummy variables as follows to develop an equation to account for seasonal effects in the data. Q1=1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Q2=1 if quarter 2, 0 otherwise;Q3=1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise.
What is the R^2 (coefficient of determination)? Four decimal places in Excel.
b). Use a multiple regression model to develop an equation to account for trend AND seasonal effects in the data. Use dummy variables as follows to capture seasonal effects: Q1=1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Q2=1 if quarter 2, 0 otherwise; Q3=1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise. Create a variable t such that t=1 for quarter 1 in year 1, t=2 for quarter 2 in year 1, ...t=12 for quarter 4 in year 3.
What is the R^2 (coefficient of determination)? Four decimal places in Excel.
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