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(d) We can use the same approach to estimate probabilities, when calculating them analytically is either too tedious (or impossible). This approach is often used
(d) We can use the same approach to estimate probabilities, when calculating them analytically is either too tedious (or impossible). This approach is often used for plotting the performance of simulated systems. For instance, for realizations X1,X2,....Xm, the probability estimate of P(X > is simply the number of times Xi > b, divided by m. The code framework below generates numtrials realizations of a Poisson(a) random vari able, estimates the probability P(X > using up to the mth realization for m from 1 to numtrials, and plots the resulting sequence of probability estimates as well as the exat probability. Your job is to fill in the code needed to generate the estimate the probability as well as calculate the exact probability Parameters numtrials-1000 alpha 4 %Generate Poisson(alpha) random variables x random ('Poisson' ,alpha, numtrials,1) %Estimate P(X > b] probestimate zeros (1,numtrials); for m1:numtrials probestimate (m) . %% Your code for calculating (1) * (number of times X-i > b) end %Calculate P(X > b] exactly exactprob . %% Your code for calculating P(X > b] exactly %Plot hold off, plot(1:numtrials,probestimate) hold on, plot(1:numtrials, exactprob*ones (1,numtrials) 'r--') xlabel('Number of Trials') ylabel('Probability') legend 'Probability Estimate, 'Exact Probability") Then, for numtrials-1000, -4, and b-3, generate and turn i.. plots of the probability estimate. (If you don't want to print out your entire code as part of your homework, you can just write the relevant lines of code that you wrote directly on the graph print out.)
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