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David Hassenzahl discusses the relative risks of eating peanut butter contaminated with aflatoxin and apple juice contaminated with UDMH, a degradation product of Alar. The

David Hassenzahl discusses the relative risks of eating peanut butter contaminated with aflatoxin and apple juice contaminated with UDMH, a degradation product of Alar. The following Table shows his input data. The table below contains the correct information.

Variable

Units

Average

5th %ile

95th %ile

Distribution

Peanut butter intake

g/day

11.38

2.00

31.86

Lognormal

Apple juice intake

g/day

136.84

16.02

430.02

Lognormal

Aflatoxin concentration

ug/kg

2.82

1.00

6.5

Lognormal

UDMH concentration

ug/kg

13.75

0.5

42.00

Lognormal

Aflatoxin potency

kg-day/mg

17.5

4.02

28.33

Normal

UDMH potency

kg-day/mg

0.49

0.00

0.85

Normal

Using Crystal Ball,calculate the daily cancer risk for a child who weighs 20 kg and who eats an average amount of peanut butter. Please use the average values for the required parameters.

Do the same for a 20 kg child who drinks an average amount of apple juice.

NOTE: Daily cancer risk = Intake x Concentration x Potency / Body Weight

Calculate the maximum daily cancer risks for peanut butter and apple juice based on the 95th percentiles.

Discuss your results briefly.

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