Question
David Hassenzahl discusses the relative risks of eating peanut butter contaminated with aflatoxin and apple juice contaminated with UDMH, a degradation product of Alar. The
David Hassenzahl discusses the relative risks of eating peanut butter contaminated with aflatoxin and apple juice contaminated with UDMH, a degradation product of Alar. The following Table shows his input data. The table below contains the correct information.
Variable | Units | Average | 5th %ile | 95th %ile | Distribution |
Peanut butter intake | g/day | 11.38 | 2.00 | 31.86 | Lognormal |
Apple juice intake | g/day | 136.84 | 16.02 | 430.02 | Lognormal |
Aflatoxin concentration | ug/kg | 2.82 | 1.00 | 6.5 | Lognormal |
UDMH concentration | ug/kg | 13.75 | 0.5 | 42.00 | Lognormal |
Aflatoxin potency | kg-day/mg | 17.5 | 4.02 | 28.33 | Normal |
UDMH potency | kg-day/mg | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.85 | Normal |
Using Crystal Ball,calculate the daily cancer risk for a child who weighs 20 kg and who eats an average amount of peanut butter. Please use the average values for the required parameters.
Do the same for a 20 kg child who drinks an average amount of apple juice.
NOTE: Daily cancer risk = Intake x Concentration x Potency / Body Weight
Calculate the maximum daily cancer risks for peanut butter and apple juice based on the 95th percentiles.
Discuss your results briefly.
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