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EBP Assets are broken into three main asset categories: EQUITY, FIXED INCOME and REAL ESTATE: Each Category (and sub- category), has over 100 years of

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EBP Assets are broken into three main asset categories: EQUITY, FIXED INCOME and REAL ESTATE: Each Category (and sub- category), has over 100 years of history of financial data (returns, etc.) in large well established markets as follows: 10 Yr Avg (Holding Period) Returns Std Dev of 10 Yr Returns EQUITY: Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap 11.50% 13.50% 17.00% 5.00% 6.75% 9.75% FIXED INCOME Government Issue Private Issue 5.00% 7.00% 0.75% 2.50% REAL ESTATE RE Backed 10.00% 3.50% The initial EBP is comprised of the following ($ in Mil): EQUITY - Large Cap $ 250 EQUITY - Mid Cap $ 80 EQUITY - Small Cap $ 35 FIXED INCOME - Gov Issue $50 FIXED INCOME - Private Issue $25 $ REAL ESTATE - RE Backed $60 From the above information provided you are asked to provide, for ECSUFM Senior Management the following: A) the expected 10 year return for the EBP as it currently stands. B) construct the range of returns the EBP is expected to generate with 90% and 95% statistical confidence. Provide appropriate supporting calculations, tables, graphs, etc. to support your above analysis. EBP Assets are broken into three main asset categories: EQUITY, FIXED INCOME and REAL ESTATE: Each Category (and sub- category), has over 100 years of history of financial data (returns, etc.) in large well established markets as follows: 10 Yr Avg (Holding Period) Returns Std Dev of 10 Yr Returns EQUITY: Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap 11.50% 13.50% 17.00% 5.00% 6.75% 9.75% FIXED INCOME Government Issue Private Issue 5.00% 7.00% 0.75% 2.50% REAL ESTATE RE Backed 10.00% 3.50% The initial EBP is comprised of the following ($ in Mil): EQUITY - Large Cap $ 250 EQUITY - Mid Cap $ 80 EQUITY - Small Cap $ 35 FIXED INCOME - Gov Issue $50 FIXED INCOME - Private Issue $25 $ REAL ESTATE - RE Backed $60 From the above information provided you are asked to provide, for ECSUFM Senior Management the following: A) the expected 10 year return for the EBP as it currently stands. B) construct the range of returns the EBP is expected to generate with 90% and 95% statistical confidence. Provide appropriate supporting calculations, tables, graphs, etc. to support your above analysis

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