Employment Situation Summary

Transmission of material in this news release is embargoed until USDL-20-0180 8:30 a.m. (EST) Friday, February 7, 2020 Technical information: Household data: (202) 691-6378 * c..o@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/cps Establishment data: (202) 691-6555 * c..o@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/ces Media contact: (202) 691-5902 * P..e@bls.gov THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION -- JANUARY 2020 Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 225,000 in January, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in construction, in health care, and in transportation and warehousing. This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics. The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry. For more information about the concepts and statistical methodology used in these two surveys, see the Technical Note. ___________________________________________________________________________________ | | | Changes to The Employment Situation Data | | | | Establishment survey data have been revised as a result of the annual | | benchmarking process and the updating of seasonal adjustment factors. In | | addition, several changes have been made to household survey data, including | | the annual update of population estimates. See the notes at the end of the | | news release for more information. | |___________________________________________________________________________________| Household Survey Data Both the unemployment rate, at 3.6 percent, and the number of unemployed persons, at 5.9 million, changed little in January. (See table A-1. For information about annual population adjustments to the household survey estimates, see the note at the end of the news release and tables B and C.) Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (3.3 percent), adult women (3.2 percent), teenagers (12.2 percent), Whites (3.1 percent), Blacks (6.0 percent), Asians (3.0 percent), and Hispanics (4.3 percent) showed little or no change over the month. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.) Among the unemployed, the number of reentrants to the labor force increased by 183,000 in January to 1.8 million but was little changed over the year. (Reentrants are persons who previously worked but were not in the labor force prior to beginning their job search.) (See table A-11.) The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more), at 1.2 million, was unchanged in January. These individuals accounted for 19.9 percent of the unemployed. (See table A-12.) After accounting for the annual adjustments to the population controls, the civilian labor force rose by 574,000 in January, and the labor force participation rate edged up by 0.2 percentage point to 63.4 percent. The employment-population ratio, at 61.2 percent, changed little over the month but was up by 0.5 percentage point over the year. (See table A-1. For additional information about the effects of the population adjustments, see table C.) The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.2 million, was essentially unchanged in January. These individuals, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time because their hours had been reduced or they were unable to find full-time jobs. (See table A-8.) The number of persons marginally attached to the labor force, at 1.3 million, changed little in January. These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey for a variety of reasons, such as belief that no jobs are available for them (referred to as discouraged workers), school attendance, or family responsibilities. Discouraged workers numbered 337,000 in January, little changed over the month. (See Summary table A.) Establishment Survey Data Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 225,000 in January, compared with an average monthly gain of 175,000 in 2019. Notable job gains occurred in construction, in health care, and in transportation and warehousing. (See table B-1. For information about the annual benchmark process, see the note at the end of the news release and table A.) In January, construction employment rose by 44,000. Most of the gain occurred in specialty trade contractors, with increases in both the residential (+18,000) and nonresidential (+17,000) components. Construction added an average of 12,000 jobs per month in 2019. Health care added 36,000 jobs in January, with gains in ambulatory health care services (+23,000) and hospitals (+10,000). Health care has added 361,000 jobs over the past 12 months. Employment in transportation and warehousing increased by 28,000 in January. Job gains occurred in couriers and messengers (+14,000) and in warehousing and storage (+6,000). Over the year, employment in transportation and warehousing has increased by 106,000. Employment in leisure and hospitality continued to trend up in January (+36,000). Over the past 6 months, the industry has added 288,000 jobs. Employment continued on an upward trend in professional and business services in January (+21,000), increasing by 390,000 over the past 12 months. Manufacturing employment changed little in January (-12,000) and has shown little movement, on net, over the past 12 months. Motor vehicles and parts lost 11,000 jobs over the month. Employment in other major industries, including mining, wholesale trade, retail trade, information, financial activities, and government, changed little over the month. In January, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 7 cents to $28.44. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased by 3.1 percent. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees were $23.87 in January, little changed over the month (+3 cents). (See tables B-3 and B-8.) The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls was unchanged at 34.3 hours in January. In manufacturing, the average workweek remained at 40.4 hours, while overtime edged down 0.1 hour to 3.1 hours. The average workweek of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees edged up by 0.1 hour to 33.6 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.) The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for November was revised up by 5,000 from +256,000 to +261,000, and the change for December was revised up by 2,000 from +145,000 to +147,000. With these revisions, employment gains in November and December combined were 7,000 higher than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors. The annual benchmark process also contributed to the November and December revisions.) After revisions, job gains have averaged 211,000 over the last 3 months. _____________ The Employment Situation for February is scheduled to be released on Friday, March 6, 2020, at 8:30 a.m. (EST). ____________________________________________________________________________________ | | | Changes to Household Survey Data | | | | Effective with this news release, two not seasonally adjusted series previously | | displayed in Summary table A--persons marginally attached to the labor force and | | discouraged workers--have been replaced with new seasonally adjusted series. The | | new seasonally adjusted series are available in the BLS online database back to | | 1994. Not seasonally adjusted data for persons marginally attached to the labor | | force and for discouraged workers will continue to be published in table A-16. | | These series are also available in the BLS online database back to 1994. | | | | Persons marginally attached to the labor force and discouraged workers are | | inputs into three alternative measures of labor underutilization displayed in | | table A-15. Effective with this news release, data for U-4, U-5, and U-6 in | | table A-15 reflect the new seasonally adjusted series. Changes to historical | | data were negligible. Revised data back to 1994 are available in the BLS online | | database. Not seasonally adjusted series for the alternative measures are | | unaffected. | | | | Effective with data for January 2020, occupation estimates in table A-13 | | reflect the introduction of the 2018 Census occupation classification system | | into the household survey. This occupation classification system is derived | | from the 2018 Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) system. Historical | | data have not been revised. Beginning with data for January 2020, occupation | | estimates are not strictly comparable with earlier years. | | | | In addition, industry estimates in table A-14 reflect the introduction of the | | 2017 Census industry classification system, which is derived from the 2017 | | North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). The classification | | changes are minor and do not involve re-classification of industries between | | the broader industry sectors. | | | | Beginning with data for January 2020, marital status estimates are not strictly | | comparable with earlier years. Estimates of married persons now refer to those | | in opposite-sex and same-sex marriages. Prior to January 2020, these estimates | | referred only to those in opposite-sex marriages. Persons with a same-sex | | spouse were previously classified in other marital status categories, such as | | "women who maintain families." These changes affect marital status estimates in | | tables A-9 and A-10. (Note that not all marital status categories are presented | | in these tables. BLS has not separately tabulated estimates for persons with an | | opposite-sex spouse and persons with a same-sex spouse.) Historical data have | | not been revised. | |____________________________________________________________________________________| Revisions to Establishment Survey Data In accordance with annual practice, the establishment survey data released today have been benchmarked to reflect comprehensive counts of payroll jobs for March 2019. These counts are derived principally from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), which counts jobs covered by the Unemployment Insurance (UI) tax system. The benchmark process results in revisions to not seasonally adjusted data from April 2018 forward. BLS revised seasonally adjusted data from January 2015 forward. In addition, both seasonally adjusted and unadjusted data for some series incorporate other revisions prior to 2015. The total nonfarm employment level for March 2019 was revised downward by 514,000 (-505,000 on a not seasonally adjusted basis), or -0.3 percent. The absolute average benchmark revision over the past 10 years is 0.2 percent. The over-the-year change in total nonfarm employment for 2019 was revised from +2,108,000 to +2,096,000 (seasonally adjusted). Table A presents revised total nonfarm employment data on a seasonally adjusted basis from January to December 2019. All revised historical establishment survey data are available on the BLS website at www.bls.gov/ces/data/home.htm. In addition, an article that discusses the benchmark and post-benchmark revisions and other technical issues is available at www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesbmart.htm. Table A. Revisions to total nonfarm employment, January to December 2019, seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | | Level | Over-the-month change |--------------------------------------------------------------------- Year and month | | As | | | As | | As |previously | Difference| As |previously| Difference | revised |published | | revised |published | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | | | | | 2019 | | | | | | | | | | | | January......... | 150,134 | 150,587 | -453 | 269 | 312 | -43 February........ | 150,135 | 150,643 | -508 | 1 | 56 | -55 March........... | 150,282 | 150,796 | -514 | 147 | 153 | -6 April........... | 150,492 | 151,012 | -520 | 210 | 216 | -6 May............. | 150,577 | 151,074 | -497 | 85 | 62 | 23 June............ | 150,759 | 151,252 | -493 | 182 | 178 | 4 July............ | 150,953 | 151,418 | -465 | 194 | 166 | 28 August.......... | 151,160 | 151,637 | -477 | 207 | 219 | -12 September....... | 151,368 | 151,830 | -462 | 208 | 193 | 15 October......... | 151,553 | 151,982 | -429 | 185 | 152 | 33 November........ | 151,814 | 152,238 | -424 | 261 | 256 | 5 December(p)..... | 151,961 | 152,383 | -422 | 147 | 145 | 2 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (p) = preliminary. Adjustments to Population Estimates for the Household Survey Effective with data for January 2020, updated population estimates were incorporated into the household survey. Population estimates for the household survey are developed by the U.S. Census Bureau. Each year, the Census Bureau updates the estimates to reflect new information and assumptions about the growth of the population since the previous decennial census. The change in population reflected in the new estimates results from adjustments for net international migration, updated vital statistics, and estimation methodology improvements. In accordance with usual practice, BLS will not revise the official household survey estimates for December 2019 and earlier months. To show the impact of the population adjustments, however, differences in selected December 2019 labor force series based on the old and new population estimates are shown in table B. The adjustments decreased the estimated size of the civilian noninstitutional population in December by 811,000, the civilian labor force by 524,000, employment by 507,000, and unemployment by 17,000. The number of persons not in the labor force was decreased by 287,000. The total unemployment rate, employment-population ratio, and labor force participation rate were unaffected. Data users are cautioned that these annual population adjustments can affect the comparability of household data series over time. Table C shows the effect of the introduction of new population estimates on the comparison of selected labor force measures between December 2019 and January 2020. Additional information on the population adjustments and their effect on national labor force estimates is available at www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cps-pop-control-adjustments.pdf. Population controls for veterans, which are derived from a Department of Veterans Affairs' population model and are updated periodically, have also been updated with the release of data for January 2020. Historical data have not been revised. Table B. Effect of the updated population controls on December 2019 estimates by sex, race, and Hispanic or Latino ethnicity, not seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands)CategoryTotalMenWomenWhiteBlack or African Ameri- canAsianHispanic or Latino ethnicityCivilian noninstitutional population -811-403-408-461-59-273-323Civilian labor force -524-289-235-297-41-171-219Participation rate 000000-0.1Employed -507-279-227-287-39-167-210Employment-population ratio 0000000Unemployed -17-10-9-10-2-4-9Unemployment rate 0000000Not in labor force -287-115-172-164-18-102-104NOTE: Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Estimates for the above race groups (White, Black or African American, and Asian) do not sum to totals because data are not presented for all races. Persons whose ethnicity is identified as Hispanic or Latino may be of any race. Table C. December 2019-January 2020 changes in selected labor force measures, with adjustments for population control effects (Numbers in thousands)CategoryDec.-Jan. change, as published2020 population control effectDec.-Jan. change, after removing the population control effect(1)Civilian noninstitutional population -679-811132Civilian labor force 50-524574Participation rate 0.200.2Employed -89-507418Employment-population ratio 0.200.2Unemployed 139-17156Unemployment rate 0.100.1Not in labor force -729-287-442(1) This Dec.-Jan. change is calculated by subtracting the population control effect from the over-the-month change in the published seasonally adjusted estimates. 

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