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Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Ian Langella has been thinking about starting his own independent gasoline station. Ian's problem
Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Ian Langella has been thinking about starting his own independent gasoline station. Ian's problem is to decide how large his station should be The annual returns will depend on both the size of his station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Ian developed the following table:
States of Nature
Size of First Station
Good Market
Fair Market
Poor Market
Small
$ comma
$ comma
negative $ comma
Medium
$ comma
$ comma
negative $ comma
Large
$ comma
$ comma
negative $ comma
Very Large
$ comma
$ comma
negative $ comma
For example, if Ian constructs a small station and the market is good, he will realize a profit of $ comma
This exercise contains only part e
Part
e The correct decision tree for Ian, if each outcome is equally likely, is presented in
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