Question
Expected return. Hull Consultants, a famous think tank in the Midwest, has provided probability estimates for the four potential economic states for the coming year.
Expected
return.
Hull Consultants, a famous think tank in the Midwest, has provided probability estimates for the four potential economic states for the coming year. The probability of a boom economy is
14%,
the probability of a stable growth economy is
20%,
the probability of a stagnant economy is
47%,
and the probability of a recession is
19%.
Estimate the expected returns on the following individual investments for the coming year.
Investment | Forecasted Returns for Each Economy |
| |||||||
Boom | Stable Growth | Stagnant | Recession | ||||||
Stock | 21% | 11% | 3% | 11% | |||||
Corporate bond | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | |||||
Government bond | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
Hint: Make sure to round all intermediate calculations to at least seven (7) decimal places. The input instructions, phrases in parenthesis after each answer box, only apply for the answers you will type.
What is the expected return of the stock investment?
(Round to two decimal places.)
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