Question
Four analysts cover the stock of Fluorine Chemical. One forecasts a 6% return for the coming year. The second expects the return to be 5%.
Four analysts cover the stock of Fluorine Chemical. One forecasts a 6% return for the coming year. The second expects the return to be 5%. The third predicts a return of 11%.The fourth expects a 3% return in the coming year. You are relatively confident that the return will be positive but not large, so you arbitrarily assign probabilities of being correct of,29%, 9%, 17%, and 45%, respectively, to the analysts' forecasts. Given these probabilities, what is Fluorine Chemical's expected return for the coming year? Fluorine Chemical's expected return for the coming year is nothing%. (Round to two decimal places.)
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