Question
Getaflix is a relatively new DVD delivery service. Despite being young they have amassed a considerably large customer base. Because they have emerged as a
Getaflix is a relatively new DVD delivery service. Despite being young they have amassed a considerably large customer base. Because they have emerged as a major player in the entertainment industry and a good investment opportunity, you have been tasked by your firm to determine Getaflixs share price at the end of 2017. To accomplish this task you employ multiple methods. One method applies a customer value model. This model uses some data readily available from Getaflixs Annual Report
The data are provided in Table 1.
Table 1 gives information about Getaflixs two main types of current subscribers. It also provides information on the firms discount rate, margin, monthly revenue, cash on hand, shares outstanding and other variables that you could employ in your analysis. Using information that is readily available in Table 1 determine (for each segment) the Average Life in months. Then, once you have completed Table 1, populate the blank cells in Table 2A by calculating the CLV, customer equity, firm and share value.
(Hint: 1. Firm Value = Customer Equity + Cash on Hand; 2. Project the customer value for each segment over the time period specified by the variable Average Life to get the net present customer value; 3. The labels in Tables 2A are hints in themselves)
Table 1: Data and Assumptions about Getaflix in 2017 | |
Annual Discount Rate | 8.30% |
Total Number of Subscribers | 10,200,000 |
Cash on Hand | $397,000,000 |
Shares Outstanding (approx.) | 45,000,000 |
Short-term (ST) Subscribers | |
Percentage of ST subscribers | 35% |
Monthly Churn of ST subscribers | 5% |
Average Monthly Rev ST subscribers | $13 |
Average Life (months) | ?????? |
Operating Margin | 20.50% |
Long-term (LT) Subscribers | |
Percentage of LT subscribers | 65% |
Monthly Churn of LT subscribers | 1.75% |
Average Monthly Rev LT subscribers | $14.25 |
Average Life (months) | ?????? |
Operating Margin | 23.50% |
Table 2A: Heterogeneity Based Approach: In this approach you use information on each segment (ST and LT) in Table 1 to determine the CLV for a customer from each segment. Using this information, the segment proportions and other variables in Table 1 determine the Customer Equity, and the firm and share value. (6 Points)
TOTAL Short Term Customer CLV | |
TOTAL Long Term Customer CLV | |
Average CLV (LT and ST) | |
Net Customer Equity Contribution to Firm Value | |
Firm Value for Getaflix from Heterogeneity Based Approach | |
Share Price |
Table 2B: Aggregate Approach: What if you did not incorporate heterogeneity explicitly into your CLV calculations? Using the information from Table 1, assuming you had no idea about heterogeneity, determine the values you would expect in the rows in Table 2B for an average customer. Additionally, also calculate the CLV, firm value and share value for Getaflix in this case.
Average Monthly Revenue | |
Operating Margin | |
Monthly Churn | |
Life (months) | |
CLV | |
Net Customer Equity Contribution to Firm Value | |
Firm Value for Getaflix from Aggregate Approach | |
Share Price |
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