Question
Give the following hypothetical end- of - period prices for shares of the Drill -on- Corporation, and assuming a current price of sh. 50 per
Give the following hypothetical end- of - period prices for shares of the Drill -on-
Corporation, and assuming a current price of sh. 50 per share
Probability 0.15 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.25
End of Period Price per Share 35 42 50 55 60
i) Calculate the rate of return for each probability; what is the expected return? The
variance of end- of- period return; The range and semi-interquartile range
ii) Suppose forecasting is refined such that probabilities of end- of- period prices can be
broken down further, resulting in the following
Probability 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.02 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.15 0.05 0.05
End of periodprice per share 0 35 38.57 40 42 50 55 57 60 69
a) Calculate and explain the change in the expected returns, the range of returns and the
semi- interquartile range of returns.
b) Calculate the semi variance of the end - of period returns. Why might some investors
be concerned with semi variance as a measure of risk
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