Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Link Copied!
Question
1 Approved Answer

i need serious help with solving the below decision Question I need serious help with solving the below Decision analysis problem. Please show work so

i need serious help with solving the below decision Question I need serious help with solving the below Decision analysis problem. Please show work so I will understand with other similar problems. Shamrock oil owns a parcel of land that has the potential to be an underground oil field. It will cost $500,000 to drill for oil. If oil does exist on the land, shamrock will realize a payoff of $4,000,000 (not including drill cost). With current information, shamrock estimates that there is a 0.2 probability that oil is present on the site. Shamrock also has the option of selling the land as is for $400,000, without further information about the likelihood of oil being present. A third option is to perform geological test at the site, which would cost $100,000. There is a 30% chance that the test results will be positive, after which shamrock can sell the land for $650,000 or drill the land, with a 0.65 probability that oil exists. if the test results are negative, shamrock can sell the land for $50,000 or drill the land, with a 0.05 probability that oil does exists.

a) Explain the decision tree to make the appropriate decision

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

Step: 1

blur-text-image
Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions

See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success

Step: 2

blur-text-image_2

Step: 3

blur-text-image_3

Ace Your Homework with AI

Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance

Get Started

Recommended Textbook for

M Finance

Authors: Marcia Cornett, Troy Adair, John Nofsinger

3rd Edition

0077861779, 978-0077861773

More Books

Students explore these related Finance questions

Question

b. Where did they come from?

Answered: 3 weeks ago