Question
It was April 1, 1999. Brenda DeMorea, financial manager for the Opossum Property Management Group (OPMG), had received a tenant proposal from Jane Foley outlining
It was April 1, 1999. Brenda DeMorea, financial manager for
the Opossum
Property Management Group (OPMG), had received a tenant proposal from Jane
Foley outlining her plan to re-open Foley's End. Foley's End had closed two
months earlier under Foley's management as a result of a personal conflict she and
her business partner were unable to resolve. Now on her own, Foley appeared
confident that Foley's End would be successful and she hoped to re-open on May
1, 1999. Since OPMG owned the property and building in which Foley's End was
located, it was now up to DeMorea to decide by the end of the day whether to
grant a new five-year lease.
THE LOCATION
Foley's End was located in Chase, British Columbia. Chase was a small, rural
community with a population of 2,000 surrounded by an additional 750 people
within a three-kilometre radius. The town of Chase included a grocery store,
library, lumber yard, fitness gym, public swimming pool, doughnut shop, gas
stations, two variety stores, restaurants, doctor and chiropractor offices, flower
shop and a local Royal Canadian Mounted Police station. As in many rural
Canadian towns, hockey was a major fall/winter community event. Fortunate to
have its own hockey arena, the town had many recreational hockey leagues.
During the summer, baseball and soccer leagues provided a major pastime. The
closest city, population 81,000, was 26 kilometres west of Chase. Although
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residents often worked or did their major shopping in the city, the town itself met
most of its residents' daily needs.
There were five other restaurants in town: two take-out establishments, a Chinese
food restaurant seating 36, a summer burger stop and a family restaurant that
seated 35. Apart from the burger stop, no restaurant had been operating for more
than three consecutive years. The town's restaurants' average meal price was
similar to that of Foley's End. One other area of competition was the local legion.
A town landmark, the legion had a sizable, dedicated member base and, as a not-
for-profit organization, could serve inexpensive alcoholic beverages and advertise
free-of-charge on the local cable channel.
Foley considered her biggest competitor to be The Edge, a new pub and grill,
located at the edge of the city, approximately a 20-minute drive away. She
speculated that customers enjoyed the diverse entertainment schedule, as well as
the larger-sized establishment. She also noted that beer was the same price. Other
entertainment establishments within the city were not a competitive factor due to
the additional 10-to-15-minute drive and parking fees.
HISTORY
The building was a two-unit complex built in 1990 and was located in the south
end of town. A doughnut shop had occupied the other unit since the building was
constructed. The restaurant unit, however, had had two previous tenants. The first
tenant operated a family restaurant that remained open one year before closing due
to excessive financial losses. At this time, OPMG had made a sufficient return on
its initial investment and, hence, decided to take on the $110,000 outstanding loan
from the first tenant and repossess the restaurant's equipment. Any new tenants
then entered into a lease-to-own agreement with OPMG for the equipment.
OPMG was forced to close on the second tenant for breach of contract after three
years. Although operations had been profitable, this tenant's refusal to pay the
common area maintenance fee led to the closure. The second tenant offered a
town pub, serving similar foods but focusing on a different target market. To date,
no renovations had been made to the original tenant space. Foley's End was
OPMG's third tenant.
Recently, OPMG had also considered renovating the space into offices. Currently,
there were no vacant office spaces in town; however, there were three or four
commercial spaces for lease. Initial estimates to renovate the restaurant into
offices were pegged at $100,000. If OPMG did convert the space into offices, the
rent would be the same. DeMorea was not confident of the local demand for this
space and she considered this to be a viable option only if OPMG needed the space
for its own expansion, something it was not currently considering The original agreement between OPMG and Foley had specified that Foley would
purchase all the restaurant equipment from OPMG on credit at an interest rate of
10 per cent. The February closing had caused a breach of contract and the
ownership of all the contents of Foley's End again reverted to OPMG. The
equipment had been appraised at $35,000, but DeMorea knew there was little
market for used restaurant equipment and estimated that a more realistic evaluation
would be one-third of this appraised value.
Because the complex had been originally built as an investment, DeMorea
wondered if OPMG should reject the proposal and keep it closed. Nine years of
rental income
1
combined with falling interest rates, from 14 per cent in 1990 to
4 per cent in 1998, had allowed OPMG to renegotiate its original 25-year
mortgage which was now close to being paid off. DeMorea was confident the
rental income from the Donut Shop would be sufficient to cover this remaining
portion. Annual costs, including property tax, mortgage payments and insurance
associated with the building and property amounted to approximately $2,000.
DeMorea wondered what effect, if any, remaining closed would have on finding a
new tenant and how the Donut Shop's business would be affected,
FOLEY'S END
Foley's End first opened in October 1996 under Foley's management. The menu
offered typical roadhouse cuisine at affordable prices. Hours of operation were
Monday to Wednesday, 11 a.m. to 12 a.m., Thursday to Saturday, 11 a.m. to 1
a.m., and Sunday, 12 p.m. to 11 p.m.
In an attempt to boost sales, Foley
introduced tele-theatre horse racing
2
on Monday and Tuesday nights. Foley's End
could serve up to 80 patrons at one time.
Foley's background included 15 years in the food services industry; of these, 10
years were spent in a managerial role. As well as serving, her duties included staff
scheduling and cost control. She had no financial management experience (her
business partner had always managed the finances and accounting aspects of the
business). Foley defined success as not having to cover shifts and being able to
focus her time and energy on advertising and other management aspects of the
business. Foley hoped to eventually draw a salary of $50,000.
The problems started when a trustworthy staff member went on maternity leave.
Soon after, food inventory counts and food sales receipts were not reconciling. As
a result, Foley fired the cook and found herself short-staffed. These complications,
compounded by the growing personal differences between Foley and her business
partner, finally resulted in the February closing.
A "NEW" FOLEY'S END
In the new tenant proposal, Foley outlined her ideas to revamp the restaurant. The
tele-theatre horse races would be replaced with Friday night karaoke
3
. Foley had
noted that, although the horse racing customers stayed all evening, they spent most
of their money on bets and not on food or beverages.
Additionally, an advertising strategy was in the process of being finalized. Phase
one included a flyer announcing daily food and beverage specials and theme
nights. Further advertising would depend on available funding.
Foley also had future plans for a patio. She hoped it would draw more summer
business, enticing customers to stay in town rather than head into the city for the
evening. Changing her hours to open at noon on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday
and Sunday, and 11:30 a.m. every other day, as well as closing at 2 a.m. on Friday
and 8 p.m. on Sunday, was also expected to bring positive results.
Foley believed she would be successful now that she had dealt with the major
problems: hiring a new staff and vowing to take a more active role in the financial
and accounting aspects.
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Having reviewed Foley's last two years of financial statements (see Exhibits 1 and
2), DeMorea knew Foley would need additional financing to re-open the
restaurant. Foley's proposal predicted a two per cent increase in sales. Costs of
goods sold were also projected to decrease by two per cent with better inventory
controls in place. Most expenses would remain the same, with the exception of
advertising and insurance (the latter expense was expected to decrease by $150 per
month). Advertising (see Exhibit 3 for various advertising prices) was going to
depend on cash flow. Foley's liquor license had to be renewed by February 4,
2000 for an additional three-year period at a cost of $555.
Foley was content with her days of payables and her days of inventory. Currently,
Foley's End accepted debit cards, cash, and three major credit cards Visa,
MasterCard and American Express. Approximately five per cent of customers
paid by credit card. Each credit card company charged a 1.8 per cent fee. Industry
ratios can be seen in Exhibit 4.
OPMG was prepared to loan Foley the money needed to "get back on her feet".
DeMorea was unclear exactly how much Foley would need, but was prepared to
loan up to $15,000 at the current interest rate of eight per cent. As well, OPMG was prepared to forgo principal repayments from Foley until a time when it was
financially viable.
THE DECISION
In doing some additional research, DeMorea found that estimated total receipts of
Canadian restaurants, caterers and taverns in April 1999 totalled $2.3 billion, an
increase of 5.8 per cent over the April 1998 estimate
4
. She wondered if this
positive sign was applicable to Chase and, more specifically, to Foley's End or
other potential restaurant tenants. It had also recently been announced that there
would be no local summer baseball league since only five teams had registered.
The league in Chase had thus amalgamated with other leagues to the east and west
of the town. How was that going to affect Foley's projections? As well, OPMG
had recently received an unsolicited offer to clean and take all the contents out of
the unit for $25,000. Should OPMG take that offer and exit the restaurant
business? And, most importantly, could Foley turn the restaurant around?
DeMorea had a decision to make and not a lot of time. It was going to be a long night.
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This is the link to the case study- FOLEY'S END. I need a quantitative case analysis
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