Kiprutohsangkoros: In the elimination reaction of 2-methyl-2-butanol with the addition of phosphoric acid, the two products are 2-methyl-2-butene and 2-methyl-1-butene. What is the statistical probability of forming each alkene from this reaction? (Hint : Think of the number of protons on a particular carbon that can be removed) 

What is the statistical probability of getting 2-methyl-2-butene versus 2-methyl-1-butene?

There is a difference between statistical probability and theoretical probability.

The theoretical probability of rolling a die and getting a 3 is 1/6 = .167

Suppose you perform an experiment rolling a die ten times. (A sampling of ten

rolls). Eight out of the ten times you roll a three, so you find that

the statistical probability of rolling a three based on this experiment is 8/10 = .8

POSTING ASSIGNMENT

The statistical probability above is very different from the theorized

probability. (Read about the types of probability in the book before answering)

Part 1: What are the issues here if any? Think about sample size

and the law of large numbers. Think about other possibilities.

Part 2: Suppose you use a larger sample and the results are the same?

: Why do you think a statistical probability distribution function is used in detailed analysis of machine failures?

Select one:

a.

Because there is no relationship with statistics

b.

Because you want to make the maintenance course too complex

c.

Because machine failures occur following certain statistical behavior

d.

Because you have to distribute corrective and preventive maintenance