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Lady Antebella is trying to use a spreadsheet model to value the stock of Renaissance Limited. The model has projections for the next four years

Lady Antebella is trying to use a spreadsheet model to value the stock of Renaissance Limited. The model has projections for the next four years based on the following assumptions.

  • Sales will be $250 million in Year 1.

  • Sales will grow at 15% in Year 2 and Year 3 and 10% in Year 4.

  • Operating profits (EBIT) will be 12% of sales in each year.

  • Interest expense will be $10 million per year.

  • Income tax rate is 21%.

  • Earnings retention ratio would stay at 0.35.

  • The per-share dividend growth rate will be constant from Year 4 forward and this final

    growth rate will be 200 basis points less than the growth rate from Year 3 to Year 4.

  • The company has 10 million shares outstanding.

  • Antebella uses the CAPM to estimate the cost of equity.

  • She uses the annual yield of 2.5% on the 10-year Treasury bond as the risk-free return. She

    estimates the expected US equity risk premium to be 6.5%. The estimated Beta of Renaissance is 1.75.

    (a) Estimate the value of the stock at the end of Year 4 based on the above assumptions.

(b) Estimate the current value of the stock using the above assumptions.

(c) Lady Antebella is wondering how a change in the projected sales growth rate would affect the estimated value. Estimate the current value of the stock if the sales growth rate in Year 3 is 10% instead of 15%.

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