Ota Crown Mirrors (Crown) was a well-known company manufacturing decorative lamps. Crown was set up by Felix Muyiwa (Felix), an electrical engineer. He acquired adequate knowledge in manufacturing electrical components at various electrical manufacturing companies across several organisations in Nigeria. After gaining prolific work experience and holding lengthy deliberations with family and friends, Felix decided to set up his own business. Borrowing money from his wellwishers, Felix started Crown Mirrors in 2019. Initially, he provided a lot of promotional offers to his customers. Over some time, the demand for decorative lamps increased.

Though he followed the traditional method to forecast, due to irregular demand patterns, from 2010, Felix started following a current forecasting system that used data from past years to find seasonal factors and long-term trends. The current forecasting system also used data from past weeks to find recent trends. Felix used these forecasts for production planning. The company manufactured varieties of lamps, and the demand was aggregated across products and measured in Naira. Exhibit I presents the forecast demand for 2021 every month.

Exhibit I: Forecast Demand of Lamps (For 2021 every month)
Month	Expected Demand (000)	Production Days
April	900	21
May	700	22
June	800	20
July	1,200	21
August	1,500	22
September	1,100	21
October	1,200	20
November	1,500	21
December	1,100	21
January	900	22
February	700	18
March	900	21

Felix observed a great deal of seasonality/cyclicality in the demand pattern. Felix suggested his production-in-charge consider this in developing a production plan for the coming year. Felix estimated the costs of hiring or firing workers, using overtime, subcontracting, holding inventory or running out of the product. The holding cost for glass was N5 per unit.

The cost for each hire was N300 per unit (based on training costs and production rates per worker), and the cost for each fire was N600 per unit (based on unemployment compensation and loss of goodwill). Lamps manufactured during overtime cost N7 per hour, and lamps manufactured during regular time cost N5 per 1.6 labour hours were required to produce a unit. Lamps that were subcontracted cost N10 per unit. Felix could not determine whether demands not met in the current month could be completed later or whether the incomplete orders would be lost. He had to develop an aggregate plan.

a. As an MBA student of LBS, how would you apply aggregate planning to a service environment such as Lagos Business School in planning for incoming MBA 21 students and a manufacturing organisation such as NBC. What assumptions would undergird your aggregate planning in Nigeria, and Ukraine ? Specify your assumptions for each country.

b. Find the production schedule Crown should follow under the various assumptions and policies, detail the differences among these schedules, and provide the aggregate plan for Felix Muyiwa.

c. What are the expected demands for April, May, and June in 2022? Show your analysis for subquestions b and c accordingly

forget the countries .maybe use africa and europe