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P 1 ) The payoff table shows prospective profits and losses for a company, depending on what decision ( d 1 through d 4 )
P The payoff table shows prospective profits and losses for a company, depending on what
decision through is made and what state of nature occurs and : The relative
likelihood of each possible state of nature is indicated at the bottom of table.
Decision d: Make in house
d: Outsource
: Implement a hybrid strategy
: Sell the rights to commercialize the product
Sate of nature : High cost of capital above
s: Moderate cost of capital between and
s: Low cost of capital less than
Use the information above to determine:
a What the company should do if an optimistic strategy is used Maximax
b What the company should do if a conservative strategy is used Maximin
c What the company should do if a minimax regret strategy is used.
d What is the expected value of the best decision if the expected value approach is used?
e What is the payoff of alternative when the expected monetary value EV strategy is used
f What is the expected value of perfect information EVPI
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