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Perform a DCF valuation and write a very short memo that lists your intrinsic value for Moderna based on the info below. Cost of goods
Perform a DCF valuation and write a very short memo that lists your intrinsic value for Moderna based on the info below.
- Cost of goods sold will be 15% of revenue from 2022 to 2024, 13% of revenue from 2025 to 2027, 11% of revenue from 2028 to 2031, and 10% thereafter; the company will improve its margins through operational efficiencies.
- Research and Development (R&D) expense will be 10% of revenues from 2022 to 2024, 9% of revenues from 2025 to 2028, 8% of revenues from 2029 to 2032, and 7% of revenues thereafter.
- Selling, General, and Administrative (SG&A) expense will be 15% of revenue from 2022 to 2028, 12% of revenue from 2029 to 2032, and 10% of revenue thereafter.
- Capital expenditures will be .6% of sales in all years.
- Depreciation & Amortization will be 80% of capex from 2022 2025, 85% of capex from 2026 2028, 90% of capex from 2029 2031, 95% from 2032 2034, and 100% in 2035.
- The company will make investments in NWC equal to .1% of sales in each year.w
- Use the statutory tax rate of 26% in all years.
- The companys WACC is 10%.
- Assume a 3% growth rate in perpetuity; use the Gordon Growth method for terminal value.
- Assume that Cash and Equivalents are required cash (part of NWC).
- Assume that Short Term Investments and Long Term Investments are excess cash.
- Do not worry about making any adjustments for operating leases the amounts are immaterial
- Do not worry about forecasting unearned revenue (long-term). Assume the balance will remain the same in all future years (thus there will be no impact to free cash flows).
- There are 473 million shares of stock outstanding
Voluation of Moderna (MRNA) Balance Sheet Balance Sheet as of: Currency De c-31-2020 USD ASSETS Cash And Equivalents Short Term Investments Total Cash \& ST Investments Accounts Receivable Other Receivables Total Receivables Inventory Prepaid Exp. Restricted Cash Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Gross Property, Plant \& Equipment Accumulated Depreciation Net Property, Plant \& Equipment Long-term Investments Deferred Tax Assets, LT Other Long-Term Assets Total Assets LIABILITIES Accounts Payable Accrued Exp. Curr. Port. of Leases Curr. Income Taxes Payable Unearned Revenue, Current Other Current Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Long-Term Leases Unearned Revenue, Non-Current Other Non-Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Common Stock Additional Paid In Capital Retained Earnings Treasury Stock Comprehensive Inc. and Other Total Comm on Equity Total Equity Total Liabilities And Equity Source: Capital IQ \begin{tabular}{|r|r|} \hline Dec-31-2020 & Sep-30-2021 \\ USD \end{tabular} 7.336 .8 Voluation of Moderna (MRNA) Balance Sheet Balance Sheet as of: Currency De c-31-2020 USD ASSETS Cash And Equivalents Short Term Investments Total Cash \& ST Investments Accounts Receivable Other Receivables Total Receivables Inventory Prepaid Exp. Restricted Cash Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Gross Property, Plant \& Equipment Accumulated Depreciation Net Property, Plant \& Equipment Long-term Investments Deferred Tax Assets, LT Other Long-Term Assets Total Assets LIABILITIES Accounts Payable Accrued Exp. Curr. Port. of Leases Curr. Income Taxes Payable Unearned Revenue, Current Other Current Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Long-Term Leases Unearned Revenue, Non-Current Other Non-Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Common Stock Additional Paid In Capital Retained Earnings Treasury Stock Comprehensive Inc. and Other Total Comm on Equity Total Equity Total Liabilities And Equity Source: Capital IQ \begin{tabular}{|r|r|} \hline Dec-31-2020 & Sep-30-2021 \\ USD \end{tabular} 7.336 .8
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