Question
Petroleum Inc. owns a lease to extract crude oil from sea. It is considering the construction of a deep-sea oil rig at a cost of
Petroleum Inc. owns a lease to extract crude oil from sea. It is considering the construction of a deep-sea oil rig at a cost of $40 million (C0) and is expected to remain constant. The price of oil P is $40/bbl and the extraction costs are $25/bbl. The quantity of oil Q = 300,000 bbl per year forever. The risk-free rate is 6% per year and that is also the cost of capital (Ignore taxes). Suppose the oil price is uncertain and can be $60/bbl or $30/bbl next year with equal probability, then expected NPV of the project if postponed by one year is: (approximately) Please show work. Thanks
A. +50 million
B. -20 million
C. +64 million
D. +59 million
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