Question
please answer the question quickly A group conducted a poll of 2012 likely voters just prior to an election. The results of the survey indicated
please answer the question quickly
A group conducted a poll of
2012
likely voters just prior to an election. The results of the survey indicated that candidate A would receive
48%
of the popular vote and candidate B would receive
44%
of the popular vote. The margin of error was reported to be
5%.
The group reported that the race was too close to call. Use the concept of a confidence interval to explain what this means.
Question content area bottom
Part 1
What does it mean to say the race was too close to call?
A.
Since the difference between the percentages of the popular vote for the candidates is less than the
8%
of voters that are undecided, the poll cannot predict the winner.
B.
Since the estimated proportions depend on the level of confidence, the candidate predicted to receive the greater percentage of the popular vote changes for different levels of confidence, so the poll cannot predict the winner.
C.
The margin of error suggests candidate A may receive between
43%
and
53%
of the popular vote and candidate
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