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PURPOSE THE CASE IS AN OPPORTUNITY TO DO A CASH FLOW ANALYSIS. THE USE OF VARIABLE DISCOUNT RATES BASED ON PROJECT RISK. THE CASE GIVES

PURPOSE
THE CASE IS AN OPPORTUNITY TO DO A CASH FLOW ANALYSIS. THE USE OF VARIABLE DISCOUNT
RATES BASED ON PROJECT RISK. THE CASE GIVES INSIGHT INTO HOW SOME CORPORATIONS
ADJUST FOR RISK EXPOSURE. ALSO, THE USE OF AN APPROPRIATE TIME HORIZON FOR ANALYSIS
IS HIGHLIGHTED.
CASE STUDY - ATO ZINC.
A TO Z INC. IS CONSIDERING ADDING A NEW PRODUCT LINE TO THEIR OFFERINGS.
IN 20XX, SALES WERE ONLY $500,000. THEY HAVE SINCE GREW DURING THE 20-YEAR PERIOD TO
ALMOST $20 MILLION BY 20XX. HOWEVER, SALES HAVE NOT INCREASED IN THE MOST RECENT 3-
YEAR PERIOD AND THIS YEAR PROFIT IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 9% LESS THAN THE PREVIOUS
PROFIT. TO ADDRESS THE ISSUE OF DECLINING PROFITABILITY, THE DIRECTOR WANTS TO EXPAND
PRODUCT OFFERINGS BY INTRODUCING A NEW PRODUCT. THE DIRECTOR IS HOPING TO
CONTINUE THE PRODUCT ON A PERMANENT BASIS BUT HAS DECIDED TO ANALYZE THE
PROFITABILITY FOR SIX YEARS ONLY.
THE EXPECTED SALES FOR THE FIRST YEAR; (TABLE 1)(Please see the attached)
DIRECTOR EXPECTED THE GROWTH IN SALES AT 20% AND 10% FOR INITIAL THREE YEARS AND TWO
YEARS AFTER THAT RESPECTIVELY ON YEAR-ON-YEAR BASIS. THOUGH THE WORKING CAPITAL NEED
FOR THE PROJECT IS EXPECTED TO BE $200,000. THE INITIAL COST FOR THE PROJECT WOULD BE 2.8
MILLIONS AND SALVAGE VALUE AT $100,000. THE EARNINGS BEFORE THE TAX SHOULD BE AT 30%,
WHILE CCA RATE AT 20% DISCOUNT RATE FOLLOWS THE COEFFICIENT OF VARIANCE AS FOLLOWS:
(TABLE 2)(Please see the attached)
REQUIRED:
SPECIFICALLY, CALCULATE THE EXPECTED VALUE FOR SALES, THE STANDARD DEVIATION, AND
COEFFICIENT OF VARIATION. THEN, USE THE APPROPRIATE DISCOUNT RATE FROM TABLE 2 TO
PERFORM A NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) ANALYSIS ("WITH 112 RATE RULE & ACCELERATED RULE)
BASED ON YOUR ANALYSIS, MAKE A RECOMMENDATION ON WHETHER THE PROJECT IS
FEASIBLE AND SHOULD BE CONSIDERED. LASTLY, COMMENT ON WHETHER A 6-YEAR TIME
HORIZON IS APPROPRIATE.
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