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Question 2 ( 1 3 marks ) Working as a senior manager at a fast - growing technology company, Gold Standard Ltd ( GST )

Question 2(13 marks)Working as a senior manager at a fast-growing technology company, Gold Standard Ltd (GST),you hold 5,000 shares of Gold Standard stock (via employee stock holding scheme) that iscurrently trading at $100 per share. You also have $750,000 invested in another (defensive) stock,Natural Gas Ltd.(NGL), to balance the risk of your portfolio.The market information on the two stocks are as follows: Stock Gold Standard: Expected rate of return =12%, Standard Deviation =9.11% Stock Natural Gas: Expected rate of return =6%, Standard Deviation =3.00% Correlation Coefficient of Stock Gold Standard with Stock Natural Gas =0.70The probabilities and rate of returns for GTS under different states of the economy are as follows:State of theEconomyProbability Expected rate of return ofStock Gold Standard undervarious states of the economyBoom 0.2540%Normal 0.5012%Bust 0.25?(a) Given that the expected rate of return of GST is 12%, calculate its expected return when thestate of the economy is Bust. (4 marks)(b) What is the expected return of your portfolio? [Hints: Calculate the weight of GST and NGLas your first step.](5 marks)(c) What is the standard deviation of your portfolio? (4 marks)Question 3(12 marks)Kempinski Ltd. has just paid a cash dividend of $2 per share. The market forecasts that thedividend payments of the company will grow at 20% per year for the next three years, 15% forthe following year and then settle down to 10% per year afterwards.Given the risk-free rate is 4%, the market risk premium is 10% and Kempinskis stock has abeta of 1.2.(a) What is the required return for Kempinski based on CAPM? (2 marks)(b) Calculate the (intrinsic) value of Kempinski stock at time 0.(6 marks)(c) Given the expected dividend growth path (as forecasted above), is Kempinskis share over-valued or under-valued if it is selling at $100 three years from now? What is the tradingsignal it implies? (4 marks)4Question 4(8 marks)Halcyon Lines Inc. is considering purchasing a new ship for $8 million now. The forecasted cashinflows for the project are $1 million a year for 15 years. A major refit costing $2 million will berequired at the end of Year 5 and Year 10. After 15 years, the ship is expected to be sold at $1.5million, ignore any depreciation and tax considerations.What is the NPV of the project if the relevant discount rate is 8% per year? Should you go aheadwith the project? [Hint: Just set up the NPV formula that includes all the relevant cash inflowsand outflows.]

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