' Scenario: ' Ariana owns a bakery. Thanksgiving weekend is approaching which is usually her busiest weekend of the year. A few days ago, her oven broke down and it has to be repaired or replaced ' Repairing the oven is cheaper than buying a new one, but buying a new one will allow Ariana to bake larger quantities of her products, allowing her to fulfill more orders ' Based on her previous years' experience, Ariana believes that there is likely to be a high demand for her products over the Thanksgiving weekend, but it is impossible to predict this with certainty. ' Ariana has a high risk attitude and as long as she has the potential to generate a high revenue she is prepared to accept the risk of a loss (as indicated by the end of path values), as long as the loss is likely to be less than 50% of the estimated monetary value