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Scenario B: Suppose the repairs for the old grader had the same probabilities as above but were $ 4 , 0 0 0 for major
Scenario B: Suppose the repairs for the old grader had the same probabilities as above but were
$ for major repairs, $ for minor repairs, and $ for no repairs.
Would this change your decision about the best lease option based on an EMV analysis?
YesNo No
WhyWhy Not? The amount needed to lease the newer grader is still lower than the amount
needed to lease the older grader.
What is the maximum that you would pay the experienced mechanic for her perfect
assessment based on the EVPI $
How did you derive this value? Finding the difference of the cost of the lease of the older
grader and the newer grader.
Suppose the company decides not to hire the experienced mechanic, and is unwilling to pay
more than $ for the grader under any circumstances. Would this change the decision
about which grader to lease? YesNo No
Whywhy not? The cost to hire Newer grader is still lower than hiring the older grader.
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