Question
Sora Industries has 60 million outstanding shares, $120 million in debt, $40 million in cash, and the following projected free cash flow for the next
Sora Industries has 60 million outstanding shares, $120 million in debt, $40 million in cash, and the following projected free cash flow for the next four years:
Year 0 1 2 3 4 Earnings and FCF Forecast ($ million) 1 Sales 433.0 468.0 516.0 547.0 574.3 2 Growth vs. Prior Year 0.081 0.103 0.060 0.050 3 Cost of Goods Sold (313.6) (345.7) (366.5) (384.8) 4 Gross Profit 154.4 170.3 180.5 189.5 5 Selling, General, & Admin. (93.6) (103.2) (109.4) (114.9) 6 Depreciation (7.0) (7.5) (9.0) (9.5) 7 EBIT 53.8 59.6 62.1 65.2 8 Less: Income Tax at 25% (13.5) (14.9) (15.5) (16.3) 9 Plus: Depreciation 7.0 7.5 9.0 9.5 10 Less: Capital Expenditures (7.7) (10.0) (9.9) (10.4) 11 Less: Increase in NWC (6.3) (8.6) (5.6) (4.9) 12 Free Cash Flow 33.4 33.6 40.1 43.1
a. Suppose Sora's revenue and free cash flow are expected to grow at a 5.0% rate beyond year four. If Sora's weighted average cost of capital is 10.0%, what is the value of Sora stock based on this information?
b. Sora's cost of goods sold was assumed to be 67% of sales. If its cost of goods sold is actually 70% of sales, how would the estimate of the stock's value change?
c. Return to the assumptions of part (a) and suppose Sora can maintain its cost of goods sold at 67% of sales. However, the firm reduces its selling, general, and administrative expenses from 20% of sales to 16% of sales. What stock price would you estimate now? (Assume no other expenses, except taxes, are affected.)
d. Sora's net working capital needs were estimated to be 18% of sales (their current level in year zero). If Sora can reduce this requirement to 12% of sales starting in year 1, but all other assumptions are as in (a), what stock price do you estimate for Sora? (Hint: This change will have the largest impact on Sora's free cash flow in year 1.)
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