STEP: 1 of 4 Suppose that Sherman Cora U.S.-based MNC is considering a plan to establish a subsidiary in Singapore. The MNC would establish the subsidiary using an upfront investment of $10,000,000 and would sell the subsidiary after four years. While it is confident in the values of certain parameters of the capital budgeting analysis, there is some substantial risk in the tax rate on earnings remitted from Singapore as well as the salvage value In particular, Sherman believes that there are two possible tax rates with the following probabilities. Possible Tax Rate Outcome 10.00% 20.00% Probability of Outcome 60.00% 40.00% 100% Additionally, Sherman believes that there are two possible salvage values with the following probabilities. Possible Salvage Value Outcome $12,000,000 $7,000,000 Probability of Outcome 50.00% 50.00% 100% Since there are two possible values for the tax rate, and two possible values for the salvage value, there are four total scenarios as outlined in the following table. Since there are two possible values for the tax rate, and two possible values for the salvage value, there are four total scenarios as outlined in the following table Scenario 1 Withholding Tax 10.00% 20.00% 2 Salvage Value S$12,000,000 5$12,000,000 S$7,000,000 S$7,000,000 3 10.00% 4 20.00% Given these scenarios, Sherman seeks to estimate the expected net present value of the project in the face of this uncertainty Consider scenario 2, where the tax rate on remitted earnings is 20.00% and the salvage value is S$12,000,000. A subsection of Sherman's capital budgeting analysis is shown in the following table, beginning with the Singapore dollars generated by the subsidiary that will be remitted to Sherman, Complete row (15) of the table, filling in the taxes paid (in Singapore dollars) on remitted funds in each year. Then complete row (16), hling in the total after-tax Singapore dollars remitted to the parent in each year. Next, complete row (19), hiling in the U.S. dollar cash flows to the parent (after taxes). Year 0 Year 1 $6,000,000 Year 2 $6,000,000 Year 3 $7,600,000 SS SS SS SIS SIS 14. S$ Remitted before Taxes 15. Taxes (20.00%) 16. After Tax S$ Remit 17. Salvage Value 18. Exchange Rate of S$ 19. After-Tax Cash Flows to Parent $0.50 $0.50 $0.50
