Question
Suppose the economy can be in one of the following three states: (i) Boom or good state and (ii) Normal State and (iii) Recession or
Suppose the economy can be in one of the following three states: (i) Boom or good state and (ii) Normal State and (iii) Recession or bad state. The probability of states occurring is 20%, 55%, and 25% respectively. The annual return on the market and a certain security X in the three states of the economy are as follows. Furthermore, assume that annual risk-free rate of return is 5% in all states of the market. Calculate the beta of security X relative to the market.
State of Economy | Probability of State | Market return | Stock return |
Boom
| 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.36 |
Normal | 0.55 | 0.17 | 0.13 |
Bust | 0.25 | 0.00 | -0.28 |
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