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Suppose the economy can be in one of the following three states: (i) Boom or good state and (ii) Normal State and (iii) Recession or

Suppose the economy can be in one of the following three states: (i) Boom or good state and (ii) Normal State and (iii) Recession or bad state. The probability of states occurring is 20%, 55%, and 25% respectively. The annual return on the market and a certain security X in the three states of the economy are as follows. Furthermore, assume that annual risk-free rate of return is 5% in all states of the market. Calculate the beta of security X relative to the market.

State of Economy

Probability of State

Market return

Stock return

Boom

0.22

0.24

0.36

Normal

0.55

0.17

0.13

Bust

0.25

0.00

-0.28

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