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Suppose you observe the following situation: State of the economy Probability of state of economy Share ABC rate of return if state occurs Share XYZ

Suppose you observe the following situation:

State of the economy Probability of state of economy Share ABC rate of return if state occurs Share XYZ rate of return if state occurs
Recession 0.20 -15% 25%
Normal 0.50 10% 20%
Boom 0.30 50% 10%

Suppose you have $30,000 in total. If you invest $15,000 in Share ABC and the remainder in Share XYZ, what will the expected return on your portfolio be?

a.

The expected return in your portfolio is 17.5%.

b.

The expected return in your portfolio is 20%.

c.

The expected return in your portfolio is 1.35%.

d.

The expected return in your portfolio is 12%.

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