t+1}'? ii]I If we believe that a time series follows an MA(1} with 191:3 and an intercept value of 4, and the last recorded values of the time series were 5 {time 13-1} and 5.4 [time #2], and the last observed innovations [errors] were .3 {time t-1} and -.4 (time #2}, what is the model forecast for the coming period (time t)? For the period after that [time t-ll}