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table [ [ Activity , Description,Optimistic ( a ) , Most Probable ( m ) , Pessimistic ( b ) ] , [ A

\table[[Activity,Description,Optimistic (a),Most Probable (m),Pessimistic (b)],[A,Plan event,2,3,4],[B,Select location,2.5,2,6],[C,Decide on speakers & vendors,4,4,4],[D,Prepare & mail brochures,2,4,6],[E,Update web site,1.5,2.5,3.5],[F,Final check with speakers & vendors,3.5,4,4.5],[G,Registration & hotel reservations,3,3,6],[H,Finalize last-minute details,2,5,5]]The Variance for Activity F is (round it up to 2 decimal places)
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1.05
0.03
0.11
0.25
Suppose the Critical Path is A-C-D-G-H, the estimated probability that the project will be completed within 22 weeks is
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49.84%
99.84%
50%
0.16%
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