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The Coffee Shop around the Corner ( CS ) is famous for its fresh - made muffins. Hank, the owner of CS , knows that
The Coffee Shop around the Corner CS is famous for its freshmade muffins. Hank, the
owner of CS knows that the demand for muffins depends very much on the time of the day:
The demand is high in the morning, decreases in the afternoon hours, and is at its lowest in
the evening. Hank is having trouble deciding how many muffins to make for each period of
the day. He asked you to help him forecast the demand. If you do a good job in forecasting
the demand for tomorrow, Hank will pay you to do this job on a recurring basis. The following
is the demand data Hank collected in the past three days:
Using a period moving average, forecast the morning, afternoon and evening demand for
the muffins on Day Hint: You will first need to deseasonalize the historical demand data
using centered moving averages. To calculate the CMA for periods and take the CMA
averages of periods and respectively, like we did in class.
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