Question
The following approach is used to model the spread of an infectious disease. At the beginning of period 1 there are 5 infected people and
The following approach is used to model the spread of an infectious disease. At the beginning of period 1 there are 5 infected people and 95 uninfected people. During any given period the probability that a particular uninfected person isnot infectedis (1-p)^n where n is the number of infected present at the start of the period, p = 0.025. Use @Risk to model the evolution of the population over 5 periods.
Two Questions:
Question 1: What is the expected number ofnew infectionsat the end of period 1?Do not round to an integer.
Question 2: What is the expected number of thetotal number of infected people at the end of period 5?
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