The following information is provided for the three limited liability companies. WC/TA ME/TL 0.45 Company A Company B Company C RE/TA 0.23 0.31 0.32 EBIT/TA 0.03 0.04 0,05 0.80 0.96 S/TA 0.25 0.33 0.33 0.50 0.55 1.06 Calculate the probability of default for each company. (50% question weight) c. Discuss the relationship between DtD and probability of default. Is the relationship for your answers in part (a) and part (b) as expected? (10% question weight) QUESTION 3 ANSWER ALL PARTS a. The following information is given for three limited liability companies: Company B 42,115 25.80% Company C 39,655 Company A 45,326 23.70% 3.80% Asset value Asset volatility Asset drift rate Short-term liabilities Long-term liabilities 23.90% 3.90% 3.70% 8,965 10,589 7,506 24,856 9,568 2,538 Calculate the Distance to Default (DtD) for each company and compare the results. Explain the main drivers of DD based on the information available in the above table. Which company is the most risky? (40% question weight) b. The following logit model has been produced to calculate the probability of default of corporate firms. ME/TL Constant wc/TA -3.28 0.32 RE/TA -1.70 EBIT/TA -8.25 S/TA 0.74 Coefficient -0.14 Where: WC/TA is Working capital/Total assets RE/TA is Retained earnings/Total assets EBIT/TA Is Earnings before interest and taxes/Total assets ME/TL is market value of equity/Total liabilities S/TA is Sales/Total assets The following information is provided for the three limited liability companies. WC/TA ME/TL 0.45 Company A Company B Company C RE/TA 0.23 0.31 0.32 EBIT/TA 0.03 0.04 0,05 0.80 0.96 S/TA 0.25 0.33 0.33 0.50 0.55 1.06 Calculate the probability of default for each company. (50% question weight) c. Discuss the relationship between DtD and probability of default. Is the relationship for your answers in part (a) and part (b) as expected? (10% question weight) QUESTION 3 ANSWER ALL PARTS a. The following information is given for three limited liability companies: Company B 42,115 25.80% Company C 39,655 Company A 45,326 23.70% 3.80% Asset value Asset volatility Asset drift rate Short-term liabilities Long-term liabilities 23.90% 3.90% 3.70% 8,965 10,589 7,506 24,856 9,568 2,538 Calculate the Distance to Default (DtD) for each company and compare the results. Explain the main drivers of DD based on the information available in the above table. Which company is the most risky? (40% question weight) b. The following logit model has been produced to calculate the probability of default of corporate firms. ME/TL Constant wc/TA -3.28 0.32 RE/TA -1.70 EBIT/TA -8.25 S/TA 0.74 Coefficient -0.14 Where: WC/TA is Working capital/Total assets RE/TA is Retained earnings/Total assets EBIT/TA Is Earnings before interest and taxes/Total assets ME/TL is market value of equity/Total liabilities S/TA is Sales/Total assets
