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The following is part of the computer output from a regression of monthly returns on Waterworks stock against the S&P 500 index. A hedge fund

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The following is part of the computer output from a regression of monthly returns on Waterworks stock against the S&P 500 index. A hedge fund manager believes that Waterworks is underpriced, with an alpha of 2.4% over the coming month. Beta R- square 0.65 Standard Deviation of Residuals 0.13 (i.e., 13% monthly) 1.55 Now suppose that the manager misestimates the beta of Waterworks stock, believing it to be 0.5 instead of 1.55. The standard deviation of the monthly market rate of return is 12%. If he holds a $5,000,000 portfolio of Waterworks stock. The S&P 500 currently is at 2,000 and the contract multiplier is $50. a. What is the standard deviation of the (now improperly) hedged portfolio? (Round your answer to 3 decimal places.) Answer is complete and correct. Standard deviation 18.104 % b. What is the probability of incurring a loss on improperly hedged portfolio over the next month if the monthly market return has an expected value of 1% and a standard deviation of 12%? The manager holds a $5 million portfolio of Waterworks stock, and wishes to hedge market exposure for the next month using 1-month maturity S&P 500 futures contracts. The S&P 500 currently is at 2,000 and the contract multiplier is $50. Assume the risk-free rate is 0.2% per month. (Round your answer to 2 decimal places. Enter your answer as percentages and not as a numbers. (Eg: Enter "12%" and not "0.12").) Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Probability of a negative return 10.00 X % The following is part of the computer output from a regression of monthly returns on Waterworks stock against the S&P 500 index. A hedge fund manager believes that Waterworks is underpriced, with an alpha of 2.4% over the coming month. Beta R- square 0.65 Standard Deviation of Residuals 0.13 (i.e., 13% monthly) 1.55 Now suppose that the manager misestimates the beta of Waterworks stock, believing it to be 0.5 instead of 1.55. The standard deviation of the monthly market rate of return is 12%. If he holds a $5,000,000 portfolio of Waterworks stock. The S&P 500 currently is at 2,000 and the contract multiplier is $50. a. What is the standard deviation of the (now improperly) hedged portfolio? (Round your answer to 3 decimal places.) Answer is complete and correct. Standard deviation 18.104 % b. What is the probability of incurring a loss on improperly hedged portfolio over the next month if the monthly market return has an expected value of 1% and a standard deviation of 12%? The manager holds a $5 million portfolio of Waterworks stock, and wishes to hedge market exposure for the next month using 1-month maturity S&P 500 futures contracts. The S&P 500 currently is at 2,000 and the contract multiplier is $50. Assume the risk-free rate is 0.2% per month. (Round your answer to 2 decimal places. Enter your answer as percentages and not as a numbers. (Eg: Enter "12%" and not "0.12").) Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Probability of a negative return 10.00 X %

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