Two recent graduates from business school (Mark Van and Sheila Epps) decided to set up an investment company to acquire home mortgages that are in default but that they hope to restructure in ways that make it possible for the homeowner to continue making payments and thus retain ownership of their home. To evaluate the feasibility of their investment strategy, Mark and Sheila decided to evaluate their funds performance under different economic conditions applied to the coming year. Specifically, they estimated their funds performance for the next year under each of four states of the economy and estimated the probability of each state:

State of economy	Probability	Fund Return
Rapid expansion and recovery	5%	100%
Modest growth	30%	35%
Continued recession	55%	5%
Falls into depression	10%	-100%

b. Would you be interested in making such an investment? Note that youloseall your money in one year if economy collapses into the worst state but you double your money if the economy enters into a rapid expansion.