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Use the following information about Ford and S&P 500 to solve the question below. State Probability S&P 500 return Ford's return Recession 0.30 -18% -22%

Use the following information about Ford and S&P 500 to solve the question below.

State

Probability

S&P 500 return

Ford's return

Recession

0.30

-18%

-22%

Normal

0.50

10%

12%

Boom

0.20

14%

20%

What is the expected return on the S&P 500?

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