Question
Using monthly YEN/AUD data, implement a carry strategy by going long the forward of the currency that is trading at a discount. a) Compute the
Using monthly YEN/AUD data, implement a carry strategy by going long the forward of the currency that is trading at a discount. a) Compute the average return, std deviation, min and max returns. Compute and plot cumulative returns over time to investing $1 in this strategy at the beginning of the time period. b) Instead of using the forward, compute the carry returns as borrowing 1 YEN to pay back in one month, converting to AUD at the current spot rate, investing in AUD for a month, and converting back to YEN at the next months spot rate and paying back the initial 1 YEN borrowed. Do you expect to see significant differences between using forward market to do the carry trade or implementing directly in using the money markets? Why? c) What leverage level could have wiped out the equity for this carry strategy?
Date | YEN/AUD Spot | YEN/AUD 1M Forward | AUD LIBOR 1M | YEN LIBOR 1M |
1989-01-31 | 114.93 | 113.8912128 | 15.297% | 4.313% |
1989-02-28 | 101.52 | 100.5523728 | 16.375% | 4.781% |
1989-03-31 | 108.64 | 107.519942 | 16.984% | 4.438% |
1989-04-28 | 105.09 | 104.028021 | 16.859% | 4.563% |
1989-05-31 | 106.8 | 105.6819623 | 17.938% | 5.188% |
1989-06-30 | 108.79 | 107.6734035 | 17.875% | 5.375% |
1989-07-31 | 104.12 | 103.0300739 | 18.000% | 5.250% |
1989-08-31 | 110.44 | 109.3515861 | 17.625% | 5.625% |
1989-09-29 | 108.23 | 107.1330931 | 17.938% | 5.594% |
1989-10-31 | 111.58 | 110.5192416 | 17.891% | 6.313% |
1989-11-30 | 111.78 | 110.7603367 | 17.859% | 6.750% |
1989-12-29 | 113.61 | 112.6126024 | 17.375% | 6.688% |
1990-01-31 | 111.1 | 110.1869119 | 16.750% | 6.750% |
1990-02-28 | 112.73 | 111.9217023 | 15.969% | 7.250% |
1990-03-30 | 118.79 | 118.0141139 | 15.250% | 7.313% |
1990-04-30 | 119.58 | 118.8478524 | 14.750% | 7.313% |
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