Weekly demand for dry pasta at a supermarket chain is as follows: Week Demand (units) 1 517 2 510 3 557 4 498 5 498 6 444 7 526 8 441 9 541 10 445 Estimate demand for the next four weeks using a five-week moving average, as well as simple exponential smoothing with = 0.2. Evaluate the Forecast Error, Absolute deviation, bias, MSE, MAD. Which of the two methods do you prefer? Why