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What range would you expect to see 95% of the time? What range would you expect to see 99% of the time? Suppose the returns
What range would you expect to see 95% of the time?
What range would you expect to see 99% of the time?
Suppose the returns on an asset are normally distributed. The average annual return for the asset over some period was 6.8 percent and the standard deviation of this asset for that period was 8.7 percent TABLE A.11 Cumulative Areas under the Standard Normal Curve 0 Z -3.4 -3.3 -3.2 -3.1 -3.0 -2.9 -2.8 -2.7 -2.6 -2.5 -2.4 -2.3 -2.2 -2.1 -2.0 -1.9 -1.8 -1.7 -1.6 -1.5 -1.4 -1.3 -1.2 - 1.1 -1.0 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 .00 .0003 .0005 .0007 .0010 .0013 .0019 .0026 .0035 .0047 .0062 .0082 .0107 .0139 0179 .0228 ,0287 0359 .0446 .0548 .0668 0808 .0968 .1151 1357 .1587 .1841 .2119 .2420 2743 .3085 .3446 .3821 .4207 4602 .5000 .5000 .5398 .5793 .6179 .6554 .6915 .7257 .7580 .7881 .8159 .8413 .8643 .8849 .9032 .9192 .9332 .01 .0003 .0005 .0007 .0009 .0013 .0018 .0025 .0034 .0045 .0060 .0080 .0104 .0136 .0174 .0222 .0281 .0351 .0436 .0537 0655 .0793 .0951 .1131 1335 .1562 1814 .2090 .2389 .2709 .3050 .3409 .3783 4168 .4562 .4960 .5040 .5438 .5832 .6217 .6591 .6950 .7291 .7611 .7910 .8186 .8438 .8665 .8869 .9049 .9207 .9345 .02 .0003 .0005 .0006 .0009 .0013 .0018 .0024 .0033 .0044 .0059 .0078 .0102 .0132 0170 .0217 .0274 0344 .0427 .0526 .0643 .0778 .0934 .1112 .1314 .1539 .1788 .2061 .2358 .2676 .3015 .3372 .3745 4129 .4522 .4920 .5080 .5478 .5871 .6255 .6628 .6985 .7324 .7642 .7939 .8212 .8461 .8686 .8888 .9066 .9222 .9357 .03 .0003 .0004 .0006 .0009 .0012 .0017 .0023 .0032 .0043 .0057 .0075 .0099 .0129 .0166 .0212 .0268 .0336 .0418 .0516 .0630 .0764 .0918 .1093 .1292 .1515 .1762 .2033 .2327 .2643 .2981 .3336 .3707 .4090 .4483 .4880 .5120 .5517 -5910 .6293 .6664 .7019 .7357 .7673 .7967 .8238 .8485 .8708 .8907 .9082 .9236 .9370 .04 .0003 .0004 .0006 .0008 .0012 .0016 .0023 .0031 .0041 .0055 .0073 .0096 .0125 .0162 .0207 .0262 .0329 .0409 .0505 .0618 .0749 .0901 . 1075 .1271 .1492 . 1736 .2005 .2296 .2611 .2946 .3300 .3669 4052 4443 4840 .5160 .5557 .5948 .6331 .6700 .7054 .7389 .7704 .7995 .8264 .8508 .8729 .8925 9099 .9251 9382 noor .05 .0003 .0004 .0006 .0008 .0011 .0016 .0022 .0030 .0040 .0054 .0071 .0094 .0122 .0158 .0202 .0256 .0322 .0401 .0495 .0606 .0735 .08.85 . 1056 .1251 .1469 .1711 .1977 .2266 .2578 .2912 .3264 .3632 4013 .4404 4801 .5199 .5596 .5987 .6368 .6736 .7088 .7422 .7734 .8023 .8289 .8531 .8749 .8944 .9115 .9265 .9394 nror .06 .0003 .0004 .0006 .0008 .0011 .0015 .0021 .0029 .0039 .0052 .0069 .0091 .0119 .0154 .0197 .0250 ..0314 .0392 .0485 .0594 .0721 .0869 .1038 .1230 .1446 .1685 .1949 .2236 .2546 2877 .3228 .3594 .3974 .4364 4761 .5239 .5636 .6026 .6406 .6772 .7123 .7454 .7764 .8051 .8315 .8554 .8770 .8962 .9131 .9279 .9406 .07 .0003 .0004 .0005 .0008 .0011 .0015 .0021 .0028 .0038 .0051 .0068 .0089 .0116 .0150 .0192 .0244 .0307 .0384 .0475 .0582 .0708 0853 .1020 . 1210 .1423 .1660 . 1922 .2206 .2514 .2843 .3192 .3557 .3936 4325 4721 .5279 .5675 .6064 .6443 .6808 .7157 .7486 .7794 .8078 .8340 .8577 .8790 .8980 .9147 .9292 .9418 .08 .0003 .0004 .0005 .0007 .0010 .0014 .0020 .0027 .0037 .0049 .0066 .0087 .0113 .0146 .0188 .0239 .0301 .0375 0465 .0571 .0694 .0838 .1003 .1190 .1401 .1635 .1894 .2177 .2483 .2810 .3156 .3520 .3897 .4286 .4681 .5319 .5714 .6103 .6480 .6844 .7190 .7517 .7823 .8106 .8365 .8599 .8810 .8997 .9162 .9306 .9429 .09 .0002 .0003 .0005 .0007 .0010 .0014 .0019 .0026 .0036 .0048 .0064 .0084 .0110 .0143 .0183 .0233 .0294 .0367 .0455 .0559 .0681 .0823 .0985 .1170 .1379 .1611 .1867 .2148 .2451 .2776 .3121 .3483 .3859 .4247 .4641 .5359 .5753 .6141 .6517 .6879 .7224 .7549 .7852 .8133 .8389 .8621 .8830 .9015 .9177 .9319 .9441 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 0 Z n17 na rir or 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 .9332 .9452 .9554 9641 .9713 .9772 .9821 .9861 9893 .9918 .9938 .9953 .9965 .9974 .9981 .9987 .9990 .9993 .9995 .9997 .9345 .9463 .9564 9649 .9719 .9778 .9826 .9864 9896 .9920 .9940 .9955 .9966 .9975 .9357 .9474 .9573 .9656 .9726 .9783 .9830 9868 .9898 .9922 .9941 .9956 .9967 .9976 .9982 .9987 .9991 .9994 .9995 .9370 .9484 .9582 .9664 .9732 .9788 .9834 .9871 .9901 .9925 .9943 .9957 .9968 .9977 .9983 .9988 .9991 .9994 .9996 .9997 .9382 9495 .9591 .9671 9738 .9793 9838 .9875 .9904 .9927 .9945 9959 .9969 .9977 9984 .9988 .9992 .9994 9996 9997 .9394 9505 .9599 .9678 9744 9798 .9842 .9878 .9906 .9929 .9946 .9960 .9970 9978 .9984 .9989 9992 19994 .9996 9997 .9406 .9515 .9608 .9686 .9750 9803 .9846 .9881 .9909 .9931 .9948 .9961 .9971 .9979 .9985 .9989 .9992 .9994 .9996 .9997 .9418 .9525 .9616 .9693 .9756 .9808 .9850 .9884 .9911 .9932 .9949 .9962 .9972 .9979 9985 .9989 .9992 .9995 .9996 .9997 .9429 .9535 9625 .9699 .9761 9812 .9854 .9887 .9913 .9934 .9951 .9963 .9973 .9980 9986 .9990 .9993 .9995 .9996 .9997 .9441 .9545 .9633 9706 .9767 .9817 .9857 .9890 .9916 .9936 .9952 .9964 .9974 .9981 .9986 .9990 .9993 .9995 .9997 .9998 .9982 .9987 .9991 .9993 .9995 .9997 9997 Based on this information, what is the approximate probability that your return on this asset will be less than-2.3 percent in a given yearStep by Step Solution
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