Question
Whether coal fired power stations are economically viable and has requested that you analyse and report on the economic viability of a new ultra super
Whether coal fired power stations are economically viable and has requested that you analyse and report on the economic viability of a new ultra super critical (USC) coal fired power station to be built . Specific details of the task are provided below.
Task:
You are to provide a detailed financial analysis of an USC coal fired power station under two scenarios used in the Finkel Review (2017). The scenarios are:
Business as Usual (BaU) | The electricity market remains in a prolonged period of uncertainty due to limited government action on carbon pricing and abatement. The price of electricity is higher under this scenario. | |
Emission Intensity Scheme (EIS) | Government to introduce an EIS where electricity generators that emit more than 600 kilograms of carbon per megawatt hour (MWh) of electricity must purchase carbon permits while those that emit less receive permits that they can sell. Permits will need to be purchased for the USC coal fired power station. The electricity price is lower under this scenario. |
Detailed information on the life, capital outlay, revenues, expenses and related information is provided in the USC Information.xlsx file. The financial analysis is to be completed in Excel with the file being easily adjustable for different scenarios
General Information | Detail | Units | Notes |
Construction time | 4 | years | Spread evenly over years of construction with outlay for each year occurring at the start of given year. Initial outlay at 2021. |
Years of construction | 2021-2024 | ||
Life after construction | 35 | years | After plant is complete. |
Output | 743 | MW | Mega Watt (MW) is an instantaneous output. So at full output for 1 hour, the plant is said to produce 743MW hours (MWh). Total output for year = MWh x 24 x 365 x Available Capacity Factor |
Emissions | 0.7 | t of C02-e/MWh | |
Capital cost | 3076000 | $/MW | Note: Total Outlay = Output x Capital Cost per MW |
Cost of fuel (black coal) | 2.25 | $/GJ | Average from Graph |
Heat rate | 8.85 | GJ/MWh | |
Variable fuel operating costs | 19.91 | $/MWh | VC = $/GJ x Heat Rate. |
Variable non-fuel operating cost | 1.60 | $/MWh | |
Fixed operating cost | 87000.00 | $/MW/year | Note: Total Fixed Operating Costs = Output x Fixed Operating Cost per MW |
Schedule maintenance | 2.00 | Weeks p.a. | |
Effective outage rate | 5.00% | p.a. | |
Available capacity factor | 91.15% | p.a. | (52-Maintenance Weeks)/52 - Outage Rate |
Coal inventory days | 60 | days | Coal is stored on site |
Coal inventory | 21,304,782 | $ | |
Spare parts inventory | 2,000,000 | $ | |
Working capital | 23,304,782 | $ | Initial working capital investment occurs at the beginning of first full year of operations. |
Depreciation | Straight-Line | Straight-line over operating life (life after construction) | |
Salvage | - | $ | Assumed $0 due to costs of demolition |
Site rectification | 100,000,000 | $ | |
Tax | 30% | Paid the year of income | |
Business as Usual (BaU) information | |||
Price of electricity under BaU | 85 | $/MWh | Average from Graph |
Cost of capital under BaU | 9.5% | p.a. | |
Emission Intensity Scheme (EIS) information | |||
Price of electricity under EIS | 72 | $/MWh | Average from Graph |
Cost of capital under EIS | 9.5% | ||
EIS baseline | 0.6 | t of C02-e/MWh | Permits earned for year = Total Annual Output MWh x (EIS baseline - Emission per MWh) |
Price per EIS permit first year production (2025) | 17.71 | $/permit | Price of EIS permit is in first year of production as it takes 4 years to build power station (2021-2024) |
EIS certificate annual compounded growth | 5.7% | p.a. | Compounded growth |
Additional Values | |||
Hours | 24.0 | per day | |
Days | 365.0 | per year |
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