$xYZ,$ Inc. reports taxable income of $$200,000$ for $2008$ and has a $30\%$ marginal tax rate. The tax rate is expected to increase to $40\%$ next year and remain at $40\%$ for the foreseeable future. Excluded from the determination of taxable income was a questionable deduction of $$20,000$ which represented an uncertain tax position $($note$,$ taxable income would have been $$220,000$ if the deduction had not been taken$).$ Despite this uncertainty, $xYZ,$ Inc. records the deduction, and they do feel the deduction satisfies the "more likely than not" criteria. They further anticipate the following probabilities of different outcomes with the IRS:

$\backslash$table$[[$Allowable Deduction,Probability$],[$$$15,000,30\%$