You are using exponential smoothing to forecast demand. For September, suppose you forecasted $165$ units and actually sold $178$ units. You currently are using an exponential smoothing forecast with a smoothing constant of $0\mathrm{.}2.$ For this situation, increasing the alpha value would have what effect on the October forecast?

The forecast would decrease

The forecast will remain constant

The answer cannot be determined from the available information

The forecast would increase