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You are valuing a gold mine as a real option using the binomial model with one step being 3 months long. You estimate volatility of

  1. You are valuing a gold mine as a real option using the binomial model with one step being 3 months long. You estimate volatility of gold price to be 15% per year and risk-free interest rate to be 4% per year. Find the risk-neutral probability of gold price going up.

a.

50%

b.

55%

c.

60%

d.

45%

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