You have been in a discussion with the Supervisor of Elections about the upcoming primary election. He is worried about the use of Exit polling during what is sure to be a tight primary race. (Exit polling is a popular technique used to determine the outcome of an election prior to results being tallied.) In the last election, a referendum to increase funding for education was on the ballot the nearby Sea City, JF (voting population over 100,000). An exit poll of 300 voters finds that 156 voted for the referendum.

A. How likely were the results of the sample if the population proportion of voters in the city in favor of the referendum was 0.49?

B. Based on this result, comment on the dangers of using exit polling to call elections.