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You observe the following on-the-run Treasury securities in the market: 6-month Treasury bill yields 5.25% p.a. Two-year Treasury note coupon 6.00% p.a. Five-year Treasury note

You observe the following on-the-run Treasury securities in the market:

6-month Treasury bill yields 5.25% p.a.

Two-year Treasury note coupon 6.00% p.a.

Five-year Treasury note with coupon 7.5% p.a.

Assume all Treasury securities with maturity over 6-month have par of 100 and pay semi-annually.


Using above information to fill in the missing observations in the theoretical spot rate curve below. (10 marks)

Year (Period)Yield to Maturity (%)Spot Rate (%)


0.5 (1)5.255.25


1.0 (2)
?


1.5 (3)
?


2.0 (4)6.00?


2.5 (5)
?


3.0 (6)
?


3.5 (7)
6.82


4.0 (8)
7.10


4.5 (9)
7.38


5.0 (10)7.507.67




 2-year Treasury note is trading at $95, is there an arbitrage opportunity? If so, what is your arbitrage strategy and what is your expected profit? 

What is the market consensus of the spot rate after 4.5 years? 

10-year Treasury bond is trading at $96 at the moment. 

Assume all your coupon income can be reinvested at 8.5% for the next five years. 

Based on the remaining coupon payments, what will be your holding period return over 5-years on this bond if market interest rate stays constant at the forecasted level after 5 years?

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