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Your boss doesn't really trust either of the other two forecasts from the consultant, so she supplies her own forecasts as follows: States Probability of

Your boss doesn't really trust either of the other two forecasts from the consultant, so she supplies her own forecasts as follows:

States

Probability of Occurrence

Investment Returns

State 1: Economic boom

18%

20%

State 2: Economic growth

42%

16%

State 3: Economic decline

30%

3%

State 4: Depression

10%

-25%

The expected value and standard deviation are

a.

8.72%, 12.99%

b.

7.35%, 12.99%

c.

3.50%, 1.69%

d.

2.18%, 1.69%

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