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Your boss doesn't really trust either of the other two forecasts from the consultant, so she supplies her own forecasts as follows: States Probability of
Your boss doesn't really trust either of the other two forecasts from the consultant, so she supplies her own forecasts as follows:
States | Probability of Occurrence | Investment Returns |
State 1: Economic boom | 18% | 20% |
State 2: Economic growth | 42% | 16% |
State 3: Economic decline | 30% | 3% |
State 4: Depression | 10% | -25% |
The expected value and standard deviation are
a. | 8.72%, 12.99% | |
b. | 7.35%, 12.99% | |
c. | 3.50%, 1.69% | |
d. | 2.18%, 1.69% |
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