Consider the monthly simple excess returns of 10 U.S. stocks from January 1990 to December 2003 for
Question:
Consider the monthly simple excess returns of 10 U.S. stocks from January 1990 to December 2003 for 168 observations. The 3-month Treasury bill rate on the secondary market is used to compute the excess returns. The data are in the file m-excess-10c-9003.txt. The 10 tick symbols of the stocks are
(1) pharmaceutical: ABT, LLY, MRK, and PFE;
(2) automobile: F and GM;
(3) oil companies: BP, CVX, RD, and XOM. Let \(z_{t}\) be the 10 -dimensional excess return series.
(a) Perform PCA on \(z_{t}\). Obtain the scree plot and select the number of command factors.
(b) Fit an orthogonal factor model to \(z_{t}\) using the PCA approach.
(c) Fit an orthogonal factor model to \(z_{t}\) using the maximum likelihood method.
(d) Fit a constrained factor model, based on the industrial sectors, to \(z_{t}\).
(e) Compare the three fitted factor models.
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