Suppose that we have a total of (m) possible models with prior probabilities (g(p), p=) (1, ldots,

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Suppose that we have a total of \(m\) possible models with prior probabilities \(g(p), p=\) \(1, \ldots, m\). Show that the posterior probability of model \(g(p \mid \tau)\) can be expressed in terms of all the \(p(p-1)\) Bayes factors:

\[ g(p=i \mid \tau)=\left(1+\sum_{j eq i} \frac{g(p=j)}{g(p=i)} B_{j / i}\right)^{-1} \]

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Data Science And Machine Learning Mathematical And Statistical Methods

ISBN: 9781118710852

1st Edition

Authors: Dirk P. Kroese, Thomas Taimre, Radislav Vaisman, Zdravko Botev

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