Try to assess a probability distribution for T, the maximum temperature tomorrow in the city where you

Question:

Try to assess a probability distribution for T, the maximum temperature tomorrow in the city where you live. In assessing the distribution, use two or three of the methods proposed in the text and compare the results. Then, save the distribution and look at it again after you find out the true value of T. Do this for three or four consecutive days and comment on any diffi¬

culties which you encounter in attempting to express your subjective judg¬

ments in probabilistic form.

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