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legal research analysis
Questions and Answers of
Legal Research Analysis
=+5. Assume that market indices are all trending upward. What type of market internals would you like to see to confirm these trends?
=+4. Explain how looking at "new highs" and "new lows" can help an analyst determine internal market strength.
=+Explain what the analyst means by "weak internals." What types of statistics has the analyst been looking at to determine that the market internals were weak?
=+have much confidence that the uptrend in the S&P 500 will continue much longer."
=+3. An analyst appearing on the financial news made the following statement:"Since the recent run-up in the S&P 500 has been accompanied by weak internals, I do not
=+2. Explain what the terms "positive divergence" and "negative divergence" mean.
=+8. What type of relationship is generally seen between news reporting and market sentiment?
=+What are some sources of poll data, and what general conclusions can you make about how to use poll data?
=+7. What information might polls give you about sentiment?
=+6. Explain what is meant by a contrarian investment strategy. What are some market signs that the contrarian investor might watch for?
=+What investment strategy would you want to follow given this high ratio?
=+ What would you conclude about investor sentiment given this high ratio?
=+5. You hear a report that the ratio of put to call volume is extremely high. How would you interpret this high put/call ratio?
=+4. Sandra thinks Microsoft (MSFT) is currently overpriced, while Tony thinks MSFT is underpriced. Which of these two investors would be more likely to buy a put, and which one would be more likely
=+3. Explain why extremely high investor optimism is associated with market peaks.
=+ Explain why Warren would find it helpful to have information about someone's bad trading decisions.
=+get information from someone who always makes the wrong investment decision as someone who always makes the right investment decision to use in devising my trading strategy."
=+2. Warren is searching for a good trading rule to follow. He says, "I would be just as happy to
=+1. How would you define the term "sentiment" as it relates to the financial markets?
=+Explain why Dow Theory makes these market calls late. What are the tradeoffs that investors make with a system that tends to make late calls of market reversals?
=+10. One of the criticisms of Dow Theory is that it calls market reversals long after they occur.
=+9. According to Dow Theory, what signals would an investor watch for that would indicate a reversal in the primary trend?
=+According to Dow Theory, what trend are these day traders following?
=+6. How would Dow and his followers react to the modem-day practice of day trading?
=+Why did Dow and his followers think that trading with the secondary trend was too risky?
=+5. Dow Theory teaches that, while the investor is foregoing potential profit, the investor should avoid trying to make money by attempting to predict the secondary trend.
=+4. What are the three major trends in Dow Theory? Which is the most important? Why?
=+ How do you think this general relationship between economic activity and sectors of the economy might be seen and measured in today's economy?
=+3. Why did Dow think there was an important economic relationship between the stocks of industrial companies and the stocks of railroads?
=+2. Describe what the Dow Theory ideal market pattern of an uptrend, top, downtrend, and bottom looks like.
=+How is each of these hypotheses relevant for the modem investor?
=+1. What were the three hypotheses of Dow Theory presented by Rhea?
=+e. How do you explain the differences among the graphs and the return calculations?
=+d. Compare and contrast the graphs that you created and the 30-day returns you calculated.
=+c. Construct and graph an unweighted average index for this five-stock portfolio. Compute the rate of return on this index for the 30-day period.
=+b. Find the number of shares outstanding for these five companies. Using this information, calculate a market-weighted index for the 30-day period. Graph the index and compute the return on this
=+a. Compute and graph a daily price-weighted index for these five stocks over the past month. What was the return on the index over the 30-day period?
=+for these five stocks for the past 30 days from the Yahoo! Finance Web site at http://finance.yahoo.com.
=+Choose five stocks that are included in the DJIA. Download the daily closing prices
=+f. Explain the differences in the results among the three types of indices.Company BCD EFG HIJ KIM Volume of Shares Outstanding 2,000,000 3,000,000 7,000,000 9,000,000 Price % Change Price % Change
=+e. Compute the daily percentage change for the price-weighted, market-weighted, and unweighted average indices.
=+d. Calculate an unweighted average index for Days 1-6.
=+c. Calculate a market-weighted average for Days 1-6.
=+b. Calculate a price-weighted average for Days 1-6.
=+a. Calculate the daily percentage change in price for each stock.
=+8. The following table contains six daily closing prices for four stocks.
=+would you expect a $10 stock or a $50 stock to be more important? Why?
=+5. Explain what is meant by an index being "price weighted." In a price-weighted average,
=+c. Michelle, the CEO of Led Computers, purchases 5,000 shares of LED.
=+at managing costs. Impressed by what she read, she calls her broker and puts in an order to buy 100 shares of WMT.
=+b. Sandra just read a Wall Street Journal article about how successful Wal-Mart has been
=+a. Raymond is 18 years old and ready to begin college. His parents are selling shares of MSFT and KO to pay the tuition bill.
=+4. Classify each of the following market participants as an informed, uninformed, or liquidity player, and explain the reasons for your classification:
=+3. Explain the differences among informed, uninformed, and liquidity market participants.
=+2. For technical analysis to be used, the market in which the security is trading must be sufficiently liquid. Explain what "liquid" means in this context and why Uquidity is a prerequisite for
=+what "fungibility" means and why fungible assets are a prerequisite for technical analysis.
=+For technical analysis to be used, the asset being traded must be substitutable. Explain
=+5. What are some of the problems associated with information that bring the EMH into question?
=+in stock prices on two consecutive days is only 1 in 1,000,000.
=+4. If the probability of a 10% decline in stock prices occurring on any particular day is 1 in 1,000 and stock returns are random, explain why the probability of having a 10% decline
=+3. What does the term "fat tails" mean? How do fat tails differ from the tails that would occur in a normal distribution?
=+What do they mean by this claim?
=+2. Supporters of the Random Walk Hypothesis claim that stock prices have no "memory."
=+ Does the fact that your friends have knowledge about how many heads and tails have already occurred in the game give them any advantage over you in guessing whether a coin will land on heads or
=+You walk into a room where some friends have been playing a coin toss game. They ask you to guess whether the coin will land on heads or tails on the next toss.
=+ Comparing these daily graphs to the monthly graphs during the same time periods, what similarities and what differences do you find?
=+one-year periods. Graph the daily data for each of these three periods. What types of trends do you see in these daily data graphs?
=+Choose a one-year period during each of the 1965-1980, 1980-1990, and 1990-present periods. Download daily DJIA data from the Yahoo! Finance web site for each of these three
=+d. Comparing the three charts that you have generated, what conclusions do you draw about historical market trends?
=+in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways trend? Explain your answer.
=+c. Graph the monthly data for the DJIA from 1990 until the present. Has the market been
=+b. Graph the monthly data for the DJIA for the 1980 through 1990 time period. Was the market in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways trend during that time? Explain your answer.
=+a. Graph the monthly data for the DJIA for the time period 1965-1980. Was the market in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways trend during that time? Explain your answer.
=+ A DJI. Under "quotes," choose the "historical prices" options. At this point, you will be able to choose a monthly data option and download the data into a spreadsheet.
=+source for this data can be found electronically at http://finance.yahoo.com using the ticker symbol
=+6. Gather monthly data for the DJIA from 1965 until the present. One publicly available
=+How does this physics principle serve as an analogy for the notion of trends in technical analysis?
=+same direction unless acted upon by an unbalanced force.
=+4. Newton's first law of motion is inertia—an object in motion will remain in motion in the
=+investor's trading will be. Explain why early recognition of trend reversals influences the investors' profitability.
=+3. The sooner an investor recognizes that a trend has changed, the more profitable the
=+ Explain why recognizing a trend too late reduces potential profits for the investor.
=+2. The earlier an uptrend can be spotted, the more money an investor can make by "riding the trend."
=+1. Explain why the notion that prices trend is central to the practice of technical analysis.
For Exercises 1.12 and 1.17, explain the difference between the frequentist interpretation of the score confidence interval (0.0, 0.133) and the Bayesian interpretation of the posterior interval
For the previous exercise, explain how the Bayes estimator shrinks the sample proportion toward the prior mean.
Refer to Exercise 1.12 on estimating the population proportion π of vegetarians. For the beta(0.5, 0.5) prior, find the Bayes estimator of π, show that the posterior 95%interval is (0.00002,
Using calculus, it is easier to derive the maximum of the log of the likelihood function, L = log , than the likelihood function itself. Both functions have a maximum at the same value, so it is
If Y is a random variable and c is a positive constant, then the standard deviation of the probability distribution of cY equals cσ(Y ). Suppose Y is a binomial variate and let πˆ = Y /n.a. Based
Section 1.4.3 found binomial P-values for a clinical trial with y = 9 successes in 10 trials. Suppose instead y = 8. Using software or the binomial distribution shown in Table 1.1:a. Find the P-value
Refer to the previous exercise, with y = 0 in n = 25 trials for testing H0: π = 0.50.a. Show that 0, the maximized likelihood under H0, equals (1 − π0)25 = (0.50)25.Show that 1, the maximized
To collect data in an introductory statistics course, I gave the students a questionnaire.One question asked whether the student was a vegetarian. Of 25 students, 0 answered yes. They were not a
When a recent General Social Survey asked 1158 American adults, “Do you believe in heaven?”, the proportion who answered yes was 0.86. Treating this as a random sample, conduct statistical
Refer to the previous exercise. The researchers wanted a sufficiently large sample to be able to estimate the probability of preferring the new analgesic to within 0.08, with confidence 0.95. If the
A study of 100 women suffering from excessive menstrual bleeding considers whether a new analgesic provides greater relief than the standard analgesic. Of the women, 40 reported greater relief with
When the 2010 General Social Survey asked subjects in the US whether they would be willing to accept cuts in their standard of living to protect the environment, 486 of 1374 subjects said yes.a.
In his autobiography A Sort of Life, British author Graham Greene described a period of severe mental depression during which he played Russian Roulette — putting a bullet in one of the six
Genotypes AA, Aa, and aa occur with probabilities (π1, π2, π3). For n = 3 independent observations, the observed frequencies are (y1, y2, y3).a. Explain how you can determine y3 from knowing y1
Refer to the previous exercise. Suppose y = 0 for n = 2. Find the ML estimate of π.Does this estimate seem believable? Why? Find the Bayesian estimator based on the prior belief that π is equally
In a particular city, the population proportion π supports an increase in the minimum wage. For a random sample of size 2, let Y = number who support an increase.a. Assuming π = 0.50, specify the
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